Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.764888e-03 0.001955 0.002146 0.002352 0.002568 0.002787 0.003025
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.495822e-03 0.001771 0.002058 0.002375 0.002716 0.003070 0.003463
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.247970e-03 0.001583 0.001943 0.002353 0.002803 0.003278 0.003815
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.080108e-03 0.001466 0.001892 0.002388 0.002944 0.003541 0.004225
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 9.439418e-04 0.001370 0.001855 0.002432 0.003090 0.003806 0.004634
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.366340e-04 0.001298 0.001836 0.002491 0.003248 0.004082 0.005056
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 6.852989e-04 0.001157 0.001728 0.002438 0.003273 0.004204 0.005303
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.773640e-04 0.001060 0.001663 0.002429 0.003344 0.004375 0.005603
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.832079e-04 0.000971 0.001601 0.002418 0.003408 0.004535 0.005887
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.475026e-04 0.000958 0.001632 0.002519 0.003602 0.004844 0.006340
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.811951e-04 0.000894 0.001593 0.002529 0.003685 0.005022 0.006643
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.935797e-04 0.000786 0.001489 0.002452 0.003660 0.005070 0.006793
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.104919e-04 0.000686 0.001405 0.002421 0.003720 0.005253 0.007143
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.566106e-04 0.000623 0.001371 0.002455 0.003861 0.005537 0.007618
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.015849e-04 0.000541 0.001302 0.002438 0.003939 0.005748 0.008009
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.834435e-05 0.000492 0.001276 0.002479 0.004089 0.006046 0.008507
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.356872e-05 0.000450 0.001257 0.002527 0.004248 0.006355 0.009019
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.646066e-05 0.000417 0.001250 0.002589 0.004424 0.006687 0.009558
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 7.261235e-06 0.000345 0.001166 0.002536 0.004447 0.006827 0.009867
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 5.981209e-07 0.000296 0.001116 0.002528 0.004527 0.007036 0.010259
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000252 0.001067 0.002517 0.004600 0.007236 0.010638
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000245 0.001092 0.002621 0.004828 0.007629 0.011251
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000213 0.001060 0.002631 0.004927 0.007860 0.011667